Sorry about the lack of updates. So busy I haven't even had time to play Colonization. More busy days ahead.
But the NHL season has started, so it's time for me to make my annual predictions. I've done this for a few years, and three things have become painfully evident-
1. I am really good at predicting the Western Conference. I've got the pulse of the Western Conference.
2. I am really awful at predicting the Eastern Conference. Last season, the four teams I picked to be in last place? They all made the playoffs.
3. I hate being a Los Angeles Kings fan.
So take this with a grain of salt. This is just what I'm thinking will happen.
Western Conference
1. Detroit Red Wings
C'mon, is there any surprise here? They return a championship team... oh, and just to hedge their bets, they poached one of the best players from the team they beat to win the championship. I don't know if they're a shoe-in to win the championship at the end, but they're a shoe-in to be the best team in the regular season.
2. Dallas Stars
Dallas, San Jose, and Anaheim are all neck-and-neck in the Pacific Division. I'm giving the edge to Dallas based on how well they finished last year, but it could easily be San Jose or Anaheim. The top three in the Pacific are that close.
3. Edmonton Oilers
Lots of young scorers, Souray is back, and Visnovsky was a steal. As long as their young scorers don't suffer the sophomore jinx and their goalie doesn't get hurt, I see them the strongest team in their division.
4. Anaheim Ducks
5. San Jose Sharks
Again, Dallas, Anaheim, and San Jose are almost too close to call. I'm just ranking them this way because Dallas closed last season strongly - and because San Jose closed so poorly. But again - too close to call.
6. Calgary Flames
Just checking. Mike Keanan hasn't erupted yet, right? He hasn't ripped the team apart? Okay, cool. Then the Flames are fine.
7. Chicago Blackhawks
As long as Toews and Kane don't suffer a sophomore jinx, the Blackhawks have upgraded their talent at all positions. They're going to be in, and pretty soon, they're going to be REALLY good.
8. Phoenix Coyotes
This one is tough to call. It's hard to see four teams from the same division making it, but just on paper, Phoenix has enough talent to make the playoffs. Turris might win Rookie of the Year, Jokinen is going to have a monster year, and Bryzgalov is going to be money in net.
9. Minnesota Wild
Too much scoring gone from the team - and the Gaborik contract thing will be a distraction all season long. But they're so good defensively, it wouldn't surprise me if they make that #8 spot.
10. Vancouver Canucks
I'm not big on the Canucks talent up front - and the Sedin contract thing will be a distraction. But they're rock solid on defense and their goaltending is all-world.
11. Nashville Predators
I'm always picking the Preds to barely miss the playoffs, and they always make it. I'm probably wrong again. But I just don't see how they make the playoffs over the other teams. Maybe I need my vision checked.
12. Columbus Blue Jackets
The last four teams in the conference are all pretty close in talent - but out of these four teams, Columbus has the best goaltending. So hurray for them - they'll look more respectable with that coveted 12th place.
13. St. Louis Blues
Maybe the Blues will surprise me. But they need their defensemen to step up and make up for the loss of Erik Johnson, and they need to squeeze another year out of vets like Tkachuk and Kariya.
14. Colorado Avalanche
The Avs make no sense to me. Talentwise - especially up front - they should be a lot better than this. But with guys like Sakic, Svatos, and Hejduk all missing time with injuries, they just can't keep up with the other teams. Their goaltending is also questionable. I mean, really, RAYCROFT? What, was Dan Cloutier not available?
15. Los Angeles Kings
I'm sure the Kings will be better than last year, but they'll still be last in the conference. And they won't get the #1 overall pick - the teams in the east will get that. The future is really bright. The present? Not so much.
Eastern Conference
1. Montreal Canadiens
Oodles of young talent at all positions. As long as Carey Price doesn't choke in the playoffs. Because he might.
2. Pittsburgh Penguins
Losing Gonchar hurts bad. As long as Crosby, Malkin, and Fleury are okay, the Pens will be okay. Wonder if Staal has a break-out year in him?
3. Washington Capitals
All-aboard the Capitals bandwagon! Ovechkin is so awesome, I predict the Caps will cure diseases, solve world hunger, and establish peace on Earth.
4. Philadelphia Flyers
Great young talent at forward and defense. If they get better, they might even be good enough to win their division.
5. New York Rangers
No Jagr, no Avery, no Shanahan, no problem. They have enough scoring punch up front to give Lundquist a fighting chance every night.
6. Boston Bruins
Even though they're not at Montreal's level, the pieces are there up front and on defense. Can the goaltending be good enough all year long?
7. New Jersey Devils
Every year I think the Devils are finally going to get too old and not have enough. This is not the year. But it's coming.
8. Buffalo Sabres
They barely missed the playoffs last year. I think they make it this year. Talentwise, they don't have as much as some of the teams beneath them - but they always seem to squeeze maximum effort out of their guys.
9. Carolina Hurricanes
Man, these guys get really bad Stanley Cup hangover. I really like what they've done with their defensemen, but I think they miss the playoffs again.
10. Ottawa Senators
One unstoppable line of forwards, but their best defensemen have gone elsewhere and they have goalies that no other team would want. Not good enough to make the playoffs.
11. Tampa Bay Lightning
They've totally remade their last place team from last season. The problem is that we've seen time and time again that you have to remake your team with young kids - not buying your way with veterans. They won't make the playoffs.
12. New York Islanders
Just like the West, the last four teams in the conference are close in talent. That makes goaltending the difference maker, even though three of the teams have great goaltending. So I'll give the Isles this coveted 12th place spot.
13. Florida Panthers
In back to back years, they've traded away their franchise goalie and their franchise forward. Once Bouwmeester makes it clear he's not coming back, they'll trade away their franchise defenseman. What a mess.
14. Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto needs Mat Sundin to come out of retirement, and they need Jason Blake to bounce back with a 50 goal year. I don't think either is going to happen.
15. Atlanta Thrashers
The winner of the worst team in the NHL this season. They've got one of the most dynamic forwards in the league... and nothing else. Their goaltending is good when healthy - and that's not very often. If Kovalchuk is still on the team, I think they draft Tavares. If Kovalchuk wants out, I think they draft Hedman.